Grant LaFleche wrong to say Hudak selling pixie dust with jobs plan

Well, well, well. Put out a positive plan to create jobs in Ontario and mainstream media journalists like Grant LaFleche put it down by calling it pixie dust and magical thinking. Talk about cynicism and pessimism!  What are the Ontario PCs supposed to do, just roll over and let the NDP and Liberal naysayers continue to ruin Ontario?

Well, thankfully, Tim Hudak responded to LaFleche almost immediately. I think the key point in Hudak’s rebuttal is the following:

“As an economist, former minister in three different economic portfolios and now the Ontario Progressive Conservative leader, I know the only way for the economy to produce more jobs with better take-home pay is for the government to create the right environment for job creation. That’s why I put forward fresh ideas in my Million Jobs Act. This legislation focuses on the fundamentals of lower taxes and less debt, freer trade and more skilled workers, fewer regulations and affordable energy prices. It is grounded in facts and the confidence that with a long-term plan, we can put Ontario on the right track.”

I hadn’t read LaFleche’s article when I wrote my post yesterday, using the Stats Can numbers to prove that creating a million jobs over 8 years COULD be done because the Harris era PCs had done just that between 1995 and 2003. And, remember, the Harris PCs came to power at the end of a severe recession. So, I was surprised to read LaFleche’s sarcastic comment:

“Hudak claims about a million Ontarians are unemployed. (Stats Can reports the figure to be just south of 600,000. A huge number, but significantly less than what Hudak claims, using what amounts to voodoo math.) And he claims he can create just as many jobs. I don’t have a degree in mathology per se, but even I can subtract a million from a million. Hudak is essentially claiming he can wipe out unemployment in Ontario if we would only elect him. Twice.

Just how stupid do we look, Tim?”

Look, no one can guarantee one million jobs. But, even if only 100,000 were created over a term, is that a bad thing? I mean, we are hemorrhaging jobs now. Is a million jobs act and plan such an impossibility? Pixie dust? Magical thinking? I mean, ask the person who is currently unemployed and I am sure they will tell you that trying to put government policies into place that would create the conditions for new full-time jobs is certainly not a stupid plan.

So, what is the alternative? As Mike Moffat (an economist at the University of Western Ontario) wrote about the Kathleen Wynn job plan, not a single job would be created under the Liberals and the NDP (other than more unaffordable union public sector government jobs).

The crux of the matter is that, apart from LaFleche’s naysaying and put down, I would vote for a political leader and party that actually has a jobs plan and in Ontario’s case, its Tim Hudak and his PCs.


Stats Can proof that ONPC Leader Tim Hudak’s 1 million jobs plan CAN work!

Macleans published an article by Mike Moffat on Monday, January 13th, 2014 suggesting that ONPC Leader Tim Hudak’s one million jobs plan, while ambitious and not impossible, will need a great deal of luck to become a reality. To prove that point, Moffat uses employment data for Ontario from Statistics Canada for the period 1977 to 2013.

In my opinion, what the Stats Canada tables and data prove is just the opposite to what Moffat is suggesting, that it doesn’t take luck, it takes good government policies — policies that create a climate for investment and spending.  In actual fact, what Moffat writes proves my point, not his. For example, he writes:

“One million jobs over eight years means that the Ontario economy would need to average 125,000 jobs a year over this period (which is represented by the “target” line on our graph). Since 1976 the Ontario economy has averaged only 85,000 net new jobs a year, though there have been many years that have exceeded the 125,000 threshold (1979, 1981, 1983-1988, 1997-2000 and 2003).”

I will repeat part of the last line of Moffat’s quotation. “…there have been many years that have exceeded the 125,000 threshold.” So, what is his point? That the Ontario economy would need to average 125,000 a year when the job numbers for the years 1997-2000 and 2003 were even higher. And, who was in power then? The Ontario Progressive Conservative Governments of Mike Harris and Ernie Eves.

Now, I may not be an economist like Moffat, but I can read tables. So, let’s verify his Statistics Canada numbers, keeping in mind that the red line is the annual 125,000 job target line he is talking about.  The easiest way to do this analysis is to hold a short ruler sideways above the year. Here is what you will get — recognizing that the numbers are approximate:

  • 1995 – 75,000 jobs were created in Ontario
  • 1996 – 65,000
  • 1997 – 100,000
  • 1998 – 150,000
  • 1999 – 185,000
  • 2000 – 185,000
  • 2001 – 105,000
  • 2002 – 125,000
  • 2003 – 185,000

So, the grand total of jobs created over 8 years from 1995 to 2003 is 1,175,000.

Which means, that without a shadow of a doubt, with the right pro-business and investment policies in place, an ONPC Tim Hudak government can indeed create one million jobs.

How will they do that?  Certainly not by depending “on luck.” According to what Hudak has said, they will lower both personal and corporate taxes. They will also loosen or reduce red tape for businesses because regulation compliance costs employee time and money.

And, anyone who doubts (as some commenters under the Moffat article do) there are rules and regulations on the Ontario Government’s books that impede entrepreneurship, has never been in business for themselves.

Anyway, the result is that when Ontarians have more money in their pockets, they buy products and services. And, when businesses have more money because they are selling more of their products or services, that increase in purchasing power results in a booming economy. And, with more demand, businesses hire more people and new businesses are created.

Of course, when more people are working, more tax revenues flow into the Ontario government’s coffers — which is exactly what happened between 1995 and 2003.

Yet, how often do we hear complaints from the Ontario Liberals and Liberal supporters that Mike Harris somehow “destroyed” Ontario. Well, the proof is in these statistics. What is also obvious in these statistics is, apart from the Liberal Peterson years from 1985 to 1989, how NDP and Liberal governments mean the death of jobs, huge deficits and “have not” status.

I mean, look at that Stats Can table again and note the two Death Valley drops in jobs during both the Bob Rae 1990-1994 NDP years and the Dalton McGuinty 2007 to 2009 years — when between 150,000 to 185,000 jobs were lost a year!

As well, note that job growth was at a peak when the Ontario Liberals took over from the PCs in mid 2003, a peak that disappeared very quickly after Ontarians were hit with the biggest tax grab ever —  the health care premium — followed by the devastating effect of the Ontario Green Energy Act and the resulting FIT Program and its job killing energy costs.

The crux of the matter is, then, that ONPC Leader Tim Hudak’s plan to create a million jobs in Ontario over eight years CAN work. Can he guarantee it will work? Of course not. But, what is the alternative? As Moffat has written about Kathleen Wynne’s job plan, it wouldn’t create a single job!!


Endnote: I have listened to Mike Moffat (whose day job is as an economics professor at the Ivey School of Business at the University of Western Ontario), several times on various TV news programs, including Sun TV, and he always seems politically balanced and fair. Kudos to him for that!!!

Hudak Townhall in NOTL proves PCs have a plan for prosperity!

Town hall in NOTL

Niagara-on-the-Lake Community Centre

Last night Ontario PC Leader Tim Hudak held a townhall meeting in the Niagara-on-the-Lake Community Centre with local PC candidate (and former two-time MPP) Bart Maves.

This riding is formally called Niagara Falls and includes not only the City of Niagara Falls but the geographic area from Niagara-on-the-Lake straight through to Fort Erie.

Traditionally a bellwether riding, how it goes, the province usually goes. Federally, for example, it is held by Conservative MP Rob Nicholson, who is also the Minister of National Defence.

And, with local Liberal MPP Kim Craitor, a well liked man, regardless of his party affiliation, retiring not long ago, it means that come what may, there will be a by-election here very soon.

Hopefully, Maves can be re-elected because Niagara needs help. As Hudak reminded us last night, fully 40% of the local manufacturing sector has left the area over the past decade leaving thousands unemployed regionally to add to the more than one million unemployed provincially.

Doubt the problem in Niagara had anything to do with Liberal policies? Well, checkout the Town of Fort Erie. It has suffered needlessly under the Liberals.

So what exactly would the Hudak-led PCs do to stop the bleeding and return Ontario (and Niagara) to prosperity?

Well, for one thing, they would put a plan in motion to balance its books, reduce taxes so Ontarians had more money to spend, and create an investment climate that is business friendly.

As I mentioned above regarding how Fort Erie has suffered under the Liberals, here is an open letter from PC Leader Hudak to Premier Wynn about what should be done for the provincial horse racing sector — proving beyond any shadow of a doubt, an Ontario PC government would not only be about cuts, it would be about RESTORING prosperity.

The PCs would also reform the education system to make sure student excellence is rewarded and that the funding formula is fair to rural communities that are located far from their urban school boards.

The reality is the Province of Ontario is experiencing a reduction of some 250,000 fewer children, yet education costs under the Liberals have gone up $8 billion dollars from a decade ago. That kind of increase simply doesn’t make economic sense and, in the long run, is unsustainable.

In the final analysis, the crux of the matter is that Ontarians need to get ready to get rid of the spend thrift, promise-breaking provincial Liberals by replacing them with the responsible and pragmatic Hudak-led PCs.


Update 5pm November 14th, 2013: I just heard that Heinz is going to shut down soon in Leamington putting up to 800 people out of work. Energy costs? Corporate taxes? Red Tape? What did the Liberal Government do that would cause this to happen? This company has been in that community for over a hundred years. Just think of the domino affect on the tomato farmers, the pickers, the farm equipment and seed suppliers and many other secondary industries! My thoughts go out to all those adversely affected.

ON PC Leader Hudak asks Premier Wynne to explain Liberal job creation plan

Click for Livestream Video.

Click for Livestream Video.

Ontario PC Leader Tim Hudak is right. During the last several months, since her election as Ontario Liberal leader, all Kathleen Wynne seems to have done is talk. In fact, I have actually heard her say that she needs to have “conversations” about this or that.

Or, in the case of the gas plant cancellation decision, she has repeatedly said, she was not part of “that” conversation.

Well, obviously, her talk is not cheap! Meaning, the time for her endless consulting and talking should be over.

In other words, Premier Wynne’s Liberal government needs to release a comprehensive plan that: (a) is a blueprint on how it plans to get Ontario’s fiscal house in order, and (b) explains in detail what it will do to create a climate for investment and private sector job creation.

Certainly raising hydro and other energy costs are deferring investment and causing existing business to leave the province in droves — and I haven’t even touched on the damage the Green Energy Act is causing, not only to the rural landscape, but to people and businesses!

Anyway, or those who want to know why not having a comprehensive jobs plan is a problem for Ontario’s unemployed or underemployed, (or for what the Hudak PCs would do differently), check out this link for the Livestream press conference this morning.

The crux of the matter is this: Ontario is currently spending $9 billion dollars more every year than it receives in revenue and there is no end to that deficit in sight! So, all Ontarians need to wake up, including NDP leader Andrea Horwath.  She needs to stop being an enabler to this nightmare.

As well,  as Joanne says at Blue Like You, Ontarians need to grow a backbone in preparation for the provincial election that will surely come within the next few months!

At least that is my hope!

My 2012 interview with ONPC leader Tim Hudak confirms his leadership potential!

Originally published on March 17th, 2012, my interview with Tim Hudak is worth republishing again to remind Ontario PCs and Ontarians fed up with the Ontario Liberals and NDP,  that he does indeed have the leadership and conservative credentials to do the job of turning Ontario around.

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Paging Tim Hudak, Ontario needs a strong “conservative” gov’t!

Tim Hudak, Partner Deb & Daughter Miller.

During the recent fall election, I had high hopes that Tim Hudak would be Ontario’s next Premier. I knew him personally when I worked for a Harris era MPP and knew he had what it took to make that happen. I also supported him on this blog when he ran for the leadership of the party. He is, or at least was, a conservative, as opposed to a conservative in name only. He was also visionary and articulate. In other words, he was a born leader.

So, what happened during the recent Ontario election? What happened is that the PCs did not win enough seats to form government because they didn’t stray from their lukewarm message, which was more progressive than conservative. What also happened is that Hudak and his PC team concentrated more on minor issues such as the immigrant tax credit instead of talking about how the McGuinty Government was spending beyond their means, just like Italy and Spain, and that the PCs could get the financial house in order, not in seven years but in four.

Yet, I swear that, during the election campaign, just the mention of the phrase “Mike Harris legacy” would send Hudak and his team spinning. Why? The 1995 to 2002 period was one of growth in jobs and investment. In fact, as I’ve written before, Ontario created 700,000 jobs in the first mandate, got 100,000 people off of social assistance and paid off the $12 billion deficit left behind by Bob Rae’s NDP. 

Which brings me to the present. Every day now we are learning how very desperate the fiscal situation is in Ontario. Yesterday, for example, economist Don Drummond (the front man for Premier McGuinty) reported how bad things are economically. Read here and here.  Yet, while that report was coming out we were hearing that the Liberals were reducing all post-secondary tuitions by 30% — which only proves that McGuinty and his Finance Minister, Dwight Duncan, just don’t get  it.

So, you’d think the PCs would come out swinging today wouldn’t you? Well, if they have, I haven’t heard about it.  It is as though they are on an extended vacation.

Which is why I am paging Tim Hudak to get out in public and start hammering home the message — that the PCs can fix what is wrong!  But, to do that, they have to get away from wishy washy progressive policies and speak clearly about what Ontario needs to prosper once again — a strong, stable, Conservative majority government (thereby emphasizing the C in PC).

Read also related posts: Joanne at BLY, Clown at Midnight, and neo at Halls.

EndNote: For those readers who are new to the BT aggregator, I have been blogging for six years and took a bit of a break between the federal election on May 2nd (at which time I asked Stephen Taylor to remove CruxoftheMatter from the list) and the Ontario election in October.  However, as of today, I am back on the aggregator. I am also now a member of Blue Canada as well. My thanks to Craig and Stephen for making the process happen so quickly. Stop by and say hello!

Would Hudak’s Ont PC’s provide real choice re kindergarten?

Interesting that in magazine,  the Ontario McGuinty Liberals are now trying to convince parents that they actually do have a “choice” regarding participation in the full-day kindergarten. Clearly that is not the case at all. In fact, their options are only that their young children either attend or not attend — since kindergarten is not compulsory in Ontario. Some choice that is. In fact, that is no choice at all. Parents either do it the McGuinty government’s way or not at all.

Instead, choice should have been half-day versus full-day kindergarten — which was what Premier Dalton McGuinty originally promised. Meaning, another broken promise.  Well, if the mayoralty race in Toronto is any indication, Ontarians are not going to simply say “okay sir, anything you say sir.” Meaning, the Ontario Liberals are going to go down to defeat in the provincial election of October 2011 in a big way — a way that they, in their current mode of arrogance and entitlement, simply seem to have no idea how bad it is going to be.  
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